Converging Crises

We’re facing massive changes and they may well happen suddenly and soon.


Planetary breakdown

“Right now existing government policies have us hurtling toward 2.7 degrees of heating in the coming decades… 30-50% of species are likely to be wiped out. More than 1.5 billion people will be displaced from their home regions. Yields of staple crops will face major decline, triggering sustained global food supply disruptions.  Much of the tropics will be rendered uninhabitable for humans. Such a world is not compatible with civilization as we know it.”

Jason Hickel in 2021

Social tipping points may shift even faster

The big powers are wrangling over oil and other scarce resources.  This is helping to drive inflation and high prices.  Global trade in oil, fertiliser, wheat, etc may break down in a worldwide economic collapse.

Harsh and dangerous social division

Aotearoa has a wide and growing divide between the haves and have-nots. When people are systematically disadvantaged by the system, are hurting, angry and disengaged, they are often drawn to populist leaders offering solutions.  Aotearoa’s Freedom camp shows how quickly the alt-right will offer a solution – unless we can offer an alternative, practical, collective pathway through these converging crises.

These scenarios look more likely now since the war in Ukraine, and since covid showed how vulnerable our supply chains are.  Food and oil shortages, war, global economic collapse – any of these may now occur unpredictably and quickly.

“I know people everywhere are anxious and angry. I am too. Now is the time to turn rage into action. Every fraction of a degree matters. Every voice can make a difference. And every second counts.”

António Guterres, UN Secretary General

In the following video, António Guterres, the UN head, sums up the devastating impact on human life if countries do not act swiftly to cease greenhouse gas emissions.

Note: This speech was given at the recent release of a report by Working Group II – which focusses on the impacts of climate change on people and other life – of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).


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Comments, reactions or suggestions you are willing to add to this public thread would be greatly appreciated…

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Gray Southon
Gray Southon
1 year ago

An excellent, very readible and cogent book putting all this together is Bill McGuire’s Hothouse Earth: An Inhabitant’s Guide see https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/61336424-hothouse-earth

Tim Enright
Tim Enright
1 year ago

You are telling the truth its what we all must do….keep going

John Troughton
John Troughton
1 year ago

Greatly appreciate the exposure of the reality facing a planet earth!!! Will be giving talk in Dunedin about this in August, doing my bit

Ann
Ann
1 year ago

Great graphic at the top- and sadly for nearly all of them, we’re already there. Good video link below on Gillya’s comment. Here also is a link to the series of talks held by Resilient Hurunui (pre-covid in the community NZ). The talks are by local experts proposing approaches to climate change that are working where trialed in NZ communities. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwZ_6SZSxwV4wOdpPLZXUug

gillya
gillya
1 year ago

I am in!
Lots of references and I have not read them all, but I think it is a great start to the P2S. I wonder if something a bit easier to take in such as Tony Juniper – Restoring the Web of Life, might fit well among the references it’s not new but as relevant as ever.https://youtu.be/uoTyDDyFkSU

torfridaw
torfridaw
1 year ago

Ill hunt out the references for this page and send them through early next week